xiphias: (Default)
[personal profile] xiphias
"Hi. I'm you're thirty-one year old self. You're going to screw up a lot in life, and also do a lot of good things. You already know everything that you SHOULD do, and you're not going to do most of it, because you're clinically depressed. And you're already being treated for clinical depression as well as you can be. So, frankly, you're fucked until medical science advances. Which it will. Oh yeah, we swear a lot more now that we used to when we were your age.

"The things you can do now are to get a lot more exercise and try to make sure to get plenty of sunlight. I know you know that you should do these things -- Mom keeps telling you that. Well, she's right. And you won't listen to me any more than you listen to her. So there's really no point in me telling you. But I am, anyway. You know all this. You should probably actually do your homework. You should probably actually get involved in drama club, or other clubs. You should probably do SOMETHING other than just sit in your room doing nothing at all, but you don't, because you're clinically depressed. If that magically went away, I could give you all sorts of suggestions of neat things to do, but they're exactly the same suggestions that you already give to yourself and can't follow because you're depressed. You know how you're always down on yourself for not being able to follow through because you've got no willpower, and that's a moral failing? That's not a lack of willpower, that's clinical depression. However, you tend to be slightly more productive, if even more unhappy, when you decide to treat it as a moral failing instead of a medical condition. So I've got no good advice for you.


"Okay, fine. Here's a list of Kentucky Derby winners:

YearWinnerTimeJockeyTrainerPlaceShow
(F) indicates filly
1985Spend A Buck2:00 1/5Angel Cordero Jr.Cam GambolatiStephan's OdysseyChief's Crown
1986Ferdinand2:02 4/5Bill ShoemakerChas. WhittinghamBold ArrangementBroad Brush
1987Alysheba2:03 2/5Chris McCarronJack Van BergBet TwiceAvies Copy
1988Winning Colors (F)2:02 1/5Gary StevensD. Wayne LukasForty NinerRisen Star
1989Sunday Silence2:05Pat ValenzuelaChas. WhittinghamEasy GoerAwe Inspiring
1990Unbridled2:02Craig PerretCarl NafzgerSummer SquallPleasant Tap
1991Strike The Gold2:03Chris AntleyNick ZitoBest PalMane Minister
1992Lil E. Tee2:03Pat DayLynn WhitingCasual LiesDance Floor
1993Sea Hero2:02 2/5Jerry BaileyMack MillerPrairie BayouWild Gale
1994Go For Gin2:03 3/5Chris McCarronNick ZitoStrodes CreekBlumin Affair
1995Thunder Gulch2:01 1/5Gary StevensD. Wayne LukasTejano RunTimber Country
1996Grindstone2:01Jerry BaileyD. Wayne LukasCavonnierPrince of Thieves
1997Silver Charm2:02 2/5Gary StevensBob BaffertCaptain BodgitFree House
1998Real Quiet2:02 1/5Kent DesormeauxBob BaffertVictory GallopIndian Charlie
1999Charismatic2:03 1/5Chris AntleyD. Wayne LukasMenifeeCat Thief
2000Fusaichi Pegasus2:01 1/5Kent DesormeauxNeil DrysdaleAptitudeImpeachment
2001Monarchos1:59 4/5Jorge ChavezJohn WardInvisible InkCongaree
2002War Emblem2:01.13Victor EspinozaBob BaffertProud CitizenPerfect Drift
2003Funny Cide2:01.19Jose SantosBarclay TaggEmpire MakerPeace Rules
2004Smarty Jones2:04.06Stewart ElliottJohn ServisLion HeartImperialism
2005Giacomo2:02.75Mike SmithJohn ShirreffsClosing ArgumentAfleet Alex

(no subject)

Date: 2005-06-30 01:44 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ruth-lawrence.livejournal.com
:::chuckles:::

(no subject)

Date: 2005-06-30 01:46 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] xiphias.livejournal.com
Well, it's true. And it's what I find baffling about everybody else's "advice to younger self." Me, I'm essentially the same person I was when I was younger, with essentially the same wisdom and knowlege. I don't know much now that I didn't know then.

(no subject)

Date: 2005-06-30 02:08 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ruth-lawrence.livejournal.com
Hrm, in my case I knew squat about being queer, poly or kinky...but that's because I grew up during the Lower Devonian.

I haven't given advice to my younger self in here 'coz it would seem silly and come out turgid
and angsty!

Good on you for posting the Derby winners!

(no subject)

Date: 2005-07-01 07:33 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dancing-kiralee.livejournal.com
"Me, I'm essentially the same person I was when I was younger, with essentially the same wisdom and knowlege."

Then your 40 or 50 year old self should come back and tell you to do something about that... There is an awful lot to learn out there, no one knows everything, and it would be a shame, now that you have a way to deal with the clinical depression, to waste the opportunity.

Kiralee

(no subject)

Date: 2005-06-30 06:18 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] querldox.livejournal.com
I've been thinking major lottery numbers myself. That and a list of companies and their IPO dates, along with detailed instructions about the 1998-2002 stock market.

(no subject)

Date: 2005-07-01 12:58 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mattblum.livejournal.com
Yeah, I was just thinking: Microsoft's IPO was on March 13, 1986, when I was just shy of 13. The opening share price was $21, and each share purchased on that date would now be worth somewhere upwards of $8,000, if my calculations are correct. At the height of the tech bubble in 1999-2000, each share would've been worth even more. At age 13, I couldn't have afforded a lot of shares, but even a couple would've been nice.

Of course, the day before, Oracle Corp. had its IPO, with an opening share price of $15. I can't find good enough data to figure out what each share bought then would now be worth, but I can guarantee it would be a heck of a lot.

Of course, what I'd really like to be able to do is tell my grandparents' 1938 selves to buy as many 10-cent copies of Action Comics #1 they could afford, go to Chase Manhattan Bank (or some other bank that was around then and still exists), get a safe deposit box, and put them there, assuring them that, yes, it is worth the fee.

(no subject)

Date: 2005-07-01 04:55 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] beardedone.livejournal.com
I completed my advice before seeing this post. I like your thoughts on Action Comics #1, but I think the IPO of Microsoft would be more lucrative. I didn't purchase Microsoft stock until 1996, but it would have been better if I purchased it in 1993 or earlier.

Did you count in all of the stock splits in your calculation?

(no subject)

Date: 2005-07-01 05:15 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mattblum.livejournal.com
Yes, my calculations (which I have to emphasize were rough) included the stock splits, at least most of them. They'd've had to, really, since the stock closed today at $24.84, which wouldn't exactly be a stellar profit on a $21 investment.

As for which is more lucrative, you may be right, but only because, after a certain point, having more copies of Action Comics #1 would actually make each worth less. Were that not the case, though, it would most certainly be more lucrative.

Consider: In 2002, a near-mint copy of the comic sold for $86,400. If you bought one for 10 cents in 1938, you could get at least a 8,639,900% profit today, after 67 years. (Assume that whatever cost you might take on for keepng it safe over the years is probably offset by the better quality than all others extant.) Anyway, that gives you a profit of about 128,754% for each year you held the investment. If, OTOH, you'd bought a share of MSFT in 1986 for $21 and sold the equivalent shares you'd have today (after the splits) for, let's say, $9000, you'd make a profit of 42,757% total, or 2,250% for each year you held the investment. No comparison there.

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